I mean it is a Happy Alaska Is Calling And I Must Go Shirt Change research poll with just C- in 538 sites so. Almost all of the polling recorded by 538 over the last few days is overwhelmingly Biden. Rasmussen is a C+ that is known to heavily favor Republicans and has Biden at 8. Let’s vote and then win that civil war guys! True but I’m just signaling that this might be an outlier and that I Personally think that the post-debate polls will be mostly at 8 or 9 in Biden’s favor. Kentucky is probably the most backward state in the country. They’re living in their own world. Yeah, I have no doubt he’s ahead in the polling right now, but this still might be an outlier.
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And we can’t Happy Alaska Is Calling And I Must Go Shirts make the same mistake as last time and assume the national polling is going to reflect the actual results state-by-state because of Electoral College bull. Rasmussen is also known to have their polls get much closer to polling averages as elections approach. This way they can claim to be just as accurate as other polling organizations. I guess that means there is more to the pollster’s accuracy than just political Bias. Yeah, I’ve often heard (but don’t know how true it is) that “margin of error” seems to typically favor GOP. So maybe, to temper our expectations, we can look at the moe (margin of error), subtract it completely from Biden’s numbers, to set our expectations a bit lower.
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